Phenological development of fagus sylvatica L. and Aesculus hipocastanum L. in relation to mean monthly temperatures for the Kočevje locality during 1961-1990

Urša Vilhar and Lučka Kajfež-Bogataj (2003) Phenological development of fagus sylvatica L. and Aesculus hipocastanum L. in relation to mean monthly temperatures for the Kočevje locality during 1961-1990. Zbornik gozdarstva in lesarstva (72). pp. 63-81. ISSN 0351-3114

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Abstract

Long-term phenological development of forest trees and shrubs is an important indicator of changes in the onset of specific phenological phase at different sites in relation to meteorological conditions. Correlation analysis and linear multiple regression were used to establish relationship between phenological phases for Fagus sylvatica and Aesculus hippocastanum and mean monthly air temperatures for the Kočevje locality in the period 1961-1990. Correlation coefficients between the onset of phenological phases with air temperature of the previous 2-3 months were relatively high. For Fagus sylvatica, the highest variability was explained with phenological model for the beginning of leaf colouring (58 %) with first independent variable mean monthly temperature for the months of February, April and May and as second independent variable mean monthly temperature for the months of July, August and September. For Aesculus hippocastanum, the highest variability was explained with phenological model for the beginning of flowering (65 %) with first independent variable mean monthly temperature for the months of April and May and as second independent variable mean monthly temperature for the months of January, February and March. In general, the beginning of leaf colouring in Fagus sylvatica is a good indicator of temperature characteristics of the site.

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